Bitcoin’s (BTC) latest price fluctuations have raised thoughts about the possible end of the bull market and the way to a bearish season. Crypto Investors are thinking if the greatest digital currency is entering a cycle of massive downfall and also a sideways movement, but crypto analysts still give hint that there is hope.
The on-chain analyst and bitcoin insights provider IT Tech believes data from previous market cycles could help predict the future of this bull market and reveal if BTC has peaked for the season. The firm focused on bitcoin’s transaction volume across previous bull and bear cycles.
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Former Bitcoin Trends
During the bull season of 2016-2017, when BTC increased to rally of $20,000, the market witnessed rising activity in large transactions, which are transfers greater than $1 million. As bitcoin’s price increased, large investors accumulated heavily, took the market prices to new highs records.
At the bearish market season of 2018-2019, institutional activity had decreased; Still, investors were still collecting at a slower rate while BTC was strengthening. Also on the other hand, smaller investors gradually stepped in to buy the dip.
Then after a long bearish journey came the bull run of 2020-2021, during which occasional adoption took BTC to $69,000. IT Tech also revealed that the euphoria at the time was driven by massive transaction volumes in the >$1 million range, indicating that the market found significant interest from big players and whales.
Some Hope for the Growth
After the 2022 crash, BTC decreased to a low of around $20,000. Many big investors and whales were still accumulating the bitcoin; however, still transaction volumes decreased below the peaks seen in 2020 and 2021.
Determining data in the current crypto season, IT Tech noted the hope of emergence of new activity in low value transactions, that is, those between $0 – $1 and $100 – $1,000. Most the bitcoin investors are small which are now increasingly active, steadily highlighting a new season of retail fear of missing out (FOMO).
While many small investors continue to participate in the market, trading BTC for larger transfers have yet to reach levels seen in previous bullish season. IT Tech said this suggests that whales, institutions and big players are now quietly gathering BTC. It also means that the market is yet to see the euphoric phase of this bull cycle.
Some of latest trends as of late March 2025
As of Crypto Patel on X: “BREAKING: The U.S. Government just transferred $8 million worth of #Bitcoin from seized assets. Moves like this aren’t random — major market activity could be brewing. Stay alert. Something big might be on the horizon… #Crypto #BTC #BitcoinNews #CryptoAlert #WhaleWatch https://t.co/hYEbEDdAJD” / X
As of thebitcoinnews : Arkham data shows that the on chain wallet labeled as US government transferred 97.3 BTC, valued at $8.46 million, to two new wallets. These funds originated from government controlled addresses labeled “Sae Heng Confiscated Funds.” These funds had previously been seized from Wanpadet Sae Heng after he allegedly defrauded residents using a so-called “pig butchering” scheme. US authorities conducted the seizure in cooperation with Binance and seized a total of 97.3 BTC, 884.3 ETH, 2.56 million DOGE, and 85 million ADA.
According to IT Tech, an explosive growth in the >$1 million range could signal the beginning of market euphoria. Until that happens, the current level of accumulation indicates that the market still has room for growth.
All Over, the analyst suggest that medium sized transactions ($500 – $10,000) are just as important in this cycle because an increase in this range often comes before a broader market rally.
Now the future depends on the futurstic updates, political roles remain significant in BTC market as major polictical movements have always caused rise in the market.
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